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Open-weight AI is having its Kubernetes moment. Let's not ruin it

40 points2 hourstobi.knaup.me
firasd24 minutes ago

One of the strangest things in the AI industry is 'tokenomics'. It's not very clear why using GPT-4 in early 2023 was so expensive and then six months later 20 bucks could get you a fair amount of GPT-4 inference. This pattern has continued across various labs/providers for years--there is a continuous see-saw of pricing that doesn't seem related to anything.

So what open weight models do is at least provide a baseline of inference cost to add some sanity to the price markers. And of course predictability too--if you really want Kimi K2 instead of K3 you can still use it.

So the competitive pressure and predictability offered by open models is helpful for users

minimaxir20 minutes ago

> It's not very clear why using GPT-4 in early 2023 was so expensive and then six months later 20 bucks could get you a fair amount of GPT-4 inference.

FlashAttention was a hell of a drug.

julianlam10 minutes ago

Why do prescription medications cost so much, and generics so little (comparatively)?

Artificial inflation to recoup R&D.

serial_dev11 minutes ago

It's basically supply and demand?

mawadev20 minutes ago

Its very clear: nobody wanted to pay for usage at that price point

curious_cat_16312 minutes ago

> The government should use procurement to create demand for portable, interoperable systems rather than permanent dependence on one API vendor.

Now, here is an idea that I have not heard before... and I think there is some merit to this. This is also the sort of thing that a state (looking at you CA, CO, IL, NY) could do, instead of just the federal government.

netdur10 minutes ago

why would any software want to have Kubernetes moment? can't count how devop I know that is confused by it

xyzsparetimexyz6 minutes ago

I still don't know what it is tbh. Something for docker?

cr125rider23 minutes ago

Way over complicated for what most users need? Huh?